Aparecidense vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
APA
0 - 1
ATL
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 1
APA
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 1
APA
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
APA
3 - 2
CRA
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
APA
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CNO
1 - 3
GRE
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
GOI
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
ANA
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
APA
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |