Goiano 1 Final
Global 1-3
Aparecidense vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 1
APA
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
APA
2 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
APA
0 - 0
ANA
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 3
APA
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 0
GOI
77%
17%
6%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 2
GOI
13%
22%
65%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 0
GOI
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CNO
0 - 2
GOI
8%
16%
77%
|
79 | 40 | 39 | 0 |