Aparecidense vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TRI
3 - 2
APA
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
CRA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
APA
1 - 1
ANA
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
APA
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 0
APA
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
GOI
5 - 0
GOI
85%
12%
4%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
GOI
12%
20%
68%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 3
GOI
10%
18%
72%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 1
ANA
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 0
APA
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |