Aparecidense vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 1
APA
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
APA
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
URO
0 - 2
APA
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
APA
1 - 1
URO
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 1
JAR
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
NME
2 - 0
GOI
37%
29%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
2 - 1
GAM
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 0
GOI
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |