Aparecidense vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
SPO
12%
20%
69%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 2
ATL
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CUI
1 - 3
APA
51%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 2
APA
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 2
ATL
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
4 - 2
ANA
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 0
TRI
29%
27%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |