Aparecidense vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
5 - 0
APA
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
APA
4 - 2
ANA
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 3
APA
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
APA
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
0 - 2
ITU
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
GOI
75%
16%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 2
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |