Copa Verde Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Aparecidense vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 1
CUI
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
GOI
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
SPO
12%
20%
69%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
APA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
APA
0 - 2
ATL
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GAM
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
GAM
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
VIL
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
TAG
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |