Aparecidense vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
APA
2 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
APA
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
APA
2 - 0
INH
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
11%
21%
68%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
APA
17%
24%
60%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRA
85%
12%
4%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
CRA
3 - 3
GOI
8%
19%
74%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
2 - 0
CRA
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |