Aparecidense vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
APA
1 - 2
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
IPO
1 - 0
APA
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 1
APA
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
APA
2 - 2
GOI
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
2 - 1
APA
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRA
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 1
ANA
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 1
GOI
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
CRA
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 0
CRA
49%
27%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |