Aparecidense vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
ITU
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 1
ANA
45%
28%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
GOI
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
CRA
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |