Aparecidense vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
APA
1 - 1
ANA
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
APA
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 0
APA
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
APA
0 - 0
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 0
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
GOI
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |