Aparecidense vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
APA
85%
12%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
APA
1 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 1
APA
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
APA
3 - 3
ITU
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 1
APA
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
GOI
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
CRA
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
0 - 1
APA
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 2
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 1
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |