Aparecidense vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
APA
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
APA
3 - 2
CEI
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
AAC
0 - 1
APA
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
APA
2 - 1
YPI
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
YPI
3 - 1
APA
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
APA
23%
27%
50%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
AAC
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CEI
5 - 0
COM
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
7DE
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
COM
67%
22%
11%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |