Aparecidense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 4
GOI
14%
18%
68%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 1
APA
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
APA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUZ
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 1
CEI
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 2
CEI
34%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 1
BDF
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 3
CEI
27%
26%
48%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |