Aparecidense vs Caldas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
APA
2 - 0
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
APA
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
APA
5 - 0
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
APA
0 - 1
ATL
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 1
APA
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CNO
1 - 2
ATL
13%
19%
67%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 0
CNO
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CNO
0 - 0
ITU
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CNO
1 - 3
GRE
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
CNO
50%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |