Aparecidense vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
APA
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
APA
2 - 2
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
VOL
0 - 3
APA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
PAY
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ALT
3 - 2
BRA
42%
28%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FLO
2 - 2
ALT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 0
VIT
25%
29%
46%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
REM
1 - 2
ALT
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
FER
37%
29%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |