Aparecidense vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
0 - 1
APA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
APA
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
APA
3 - 0
BRA
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
APA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
APA
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
AGU
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 1
AGU
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 2
BRA
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -2 |