Aoiz vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 1
AOI
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AOI
2 - 0
GAR
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AOI
1 - 1
CDS
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
AOI
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AOI
4 - 4
PEN
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
CDC
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
MUR
64%
20%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
INJ
22%
21%
58%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MUT
6 - 0
MUR
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 3
CDI
21%
23%
56%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |