Aoiz vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
LOU
2 - 1
AOI
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
AOI
2 - 1
SES
14%
24%
62%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
IDO
2 - 2
AOI
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AOI
0 - 0
PAM
49%
26%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 0
AOI
52%
24%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
CHA
22%
26%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
TUD
9%
20%
71%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IZA
3 - 0
MUR
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 1
VAL
17%
25%
58%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SJU
3 - 0
MUR
58%
24%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |