Anzio vs Castiadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
54.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
ANZ
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
0 - 3
ULD
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 0
ANZ
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 4
LAN
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SFF
4 - 1
ANZ
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
ALB
10%
15%
74%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LAD
1 - 2
CAS
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAS
1 - 1
CAS
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
LRO
20%
21%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
BUD
2 - 2
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |