Anzio vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
11º
9º
35
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 63 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 49 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 44 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 32 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 30 |
18º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 55.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ANZ
0 - 2
TCA
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
OLB
3 - 2
ANZ
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ANZ
1 - 1
CSO
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PAG
0 - 0
ANZ
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ANZ
2 - 2
LOD
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ULD
0 - 1
SAR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 3
PUT
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GEL
3 - 2
SAR
55%
23%
21%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TCA
0 - 2
SAR
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
4 - 3
CYN
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |