Anzio vs Olbia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
17º
16º
2
4º
17º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 62 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 59 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 55 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 50 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 48 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 47 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 42 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 41 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 40 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 36 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 30 |
18º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
19.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CSO
1 - 2
ANZ
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ANZ
1 - 3
PAG
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOD
1 - 2
ANZ
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LAT
0 - 0
ANZ
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ANZ
4 - 0
GLA
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Olbia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OLB
0 - 1
ACD
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ULD
2 - 2
OLB
21%
25%
54%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
OLB
0 - 3
ASI
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLB
1 - 4
SPA
13%
24%
63%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
OLB
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |