Europa League 1/32
Global 2-2
Antwerp vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
ANT
1 - 0
KSV
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
CER
1 - 0
ANT
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
STR
2 - 1
ANT
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
ANT
0 - 0
AND
24%
25%
52%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1974 |
ANT
0 - 2
BEE
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
EIS
3 - 1
STR
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
STR
2 - 1
ANT
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
STR
1 - 2
EIS
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
RAP
5 - 0
STR
77%
16%
8%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
35%
30%
35%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |