Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-8
Antwerp vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
ANT
2 - 0
TIL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
BEE
1 - 3
ANT
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ANT
0 - 2
AND
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
ANT
1 - 0
ULU
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 2
ANT
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
KIL
2 - 1
HIB
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1966 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1966 |
KIL
2 - 1
STI
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
CLY
1 - 3
KIL
34%
23%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1966 |
KIL
1 - 0
AYR
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |