Europa League 1/32
Global 5-1
Antwerp vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ANT
0 - 4
LIE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
BEE
2 - 5
ANT
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
ANT
2 - 1
MOL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
ANT
3 - 0
LIE
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1975 |
KVM
0 - 0
ANT
33%
29%
38%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
ASV
2 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1975 |
NEW
3 - 0
ASV
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
ASV
1 - 0
COV
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
ASV
1 - 0
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
NOR
5 - 3
ASV
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |