Antofagasta vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EVE
3 - 0
ANT
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
2 - 0
UNI
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
0 - 3
PAL
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HUA
1 - 0
ANT
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 1
ANT
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 0
ACS
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
ULC
4 - 0
UCO
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
61%
21%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |