Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-6
Antofagasta vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
ANT
0 - 0
CUR
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OHI
1 - 0
ANT
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
NUB
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CUR
2 - 1
ANT
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
ANT
4 - 2
CUR
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
DLS
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
ACS
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
OHI
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
OHI
1 - 3
UNI
31%
25%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |