Antofagasta vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
UCH
1 - 1
ANT
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 1
IQU
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ANT
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 0
COB
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
IQU
3 - 3
ANT
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SWA
1 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
COB
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ANT
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IQU
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
COB
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |