Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Antofagasta vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
ANT
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 2
SWA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
12%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
ANT
5 - 0
COQ
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
ANT
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OHI
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
ULC
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |