Antofagasta vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANT
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 3
UCH
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ULC
3 - 1
ANT
40%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 0
ACS
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANT
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
COB
4 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NUB
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |