Antofagasta vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
ANT
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 0
ACS
29%
25%
47%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ANT
4 - 2
UCH
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CSD
4 - 1
ANT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ANT
3 - 3
HUA
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
IQU
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSD
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COB
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
COL
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |