Antofagasta vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
COQ
0 - 3
ANT
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
COB
1 - 0
ANT
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
ANT
0 - 0
COB
24%
23%
54%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CUR
0 - 1
ANT
54%
25%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ANT
1 - 0
IQU
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 3
IQU
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
IQU
2 - 0
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SAN
5 - 4
IQU
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
DCO
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 2
COQ
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |