Antofagasta vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
16º
5º
16
1º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 58 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 54 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 51 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 49 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 46 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 44 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 43 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
16 | 41 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 37 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 28 |
15º
|
57% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 16 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
68% | 48.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 2
ANT
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ANT
2 - 1
MAG
30%
26%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
ANT
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 2
LIM
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DSC
2 - 1
ANT
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 2
CUR
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CSD
2 - 3
CUR
40%
26%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 0
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |