Antofagasta vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 1
ANT
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 1
CSL
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 1
NUB
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 0
ANT
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 1
UCH
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
CSL
4 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CON
2 - 4
CSD
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
HUA
3 - 2
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
CON
2 - 2
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |