Antofagasta vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CSL
0 - 0
ANT
70%
19%
12%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ANT
3 - 0
ACS
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
CDO
0 - 1
ANT
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 14 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
UCH
3 - 0
ANT
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ANT
1 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 2
PAL
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
TAL
0 - 1
CDM
36%
24%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HUA
2 - 1
CDM
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 1
CSD
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 5
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |