WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 1 Final
Global 3-2
Netherlands Antilles vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands Antilles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ATG
2 - 0
ANT
11%
18%
71%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
6 - 1
GAM
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 0
SUR
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SUR
1 - 1
ANT
17%
21%
62%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1998 |
CYM
2 - 0
ANT
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +3 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
KNA
2 - 3
ATG
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
ATG
2 - 0
ANT
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ATG
1 - 0
KNA
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
GLP
2 - 0
ATG
57%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
CUB
2 - 0
ATG
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |