Antigua and Barbuda vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
DOM
2 - 0
ATG
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
GUY
6 - 0
ATG
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VCT
2 - 2
ATG
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 1
GRD
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 0
KNA
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
GUY
3 - 2
GLP
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
DOM
0 - 3
GLP
53%
23%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
4 - 0
MTQ
27%
24%
50%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
DMA
75%
16%
10%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
MAF
93%
6%
1%
|
51 | 14 | 37 | 0 |