Antigua and Barbuda vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ATG
2 - 0
PRI
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
CUW
3 - 0
ATG
23%
23%
55%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
ATG
5 - 1
GRD
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 1
ATG
21%
22%
58%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
KNA
1 - 0
ATG
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
KNA
1 - 1
EST
19%
22%
60%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BEL
8 - 1
EST
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
GRC
24%
29%
47%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
EST
4 - 0
GIB
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BIH
5 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |