Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 1
ATG
26%
24%
49%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
GTM
2 - 0
ATG
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 0
GTM
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 4
ATG
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 3
LCA
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ABW
2 - 1
VCT
16%
19%
65%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
VCT
2 - 0
ABW
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
BRB
1 - 0
ABW
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ABW
0 - 2
BRB
25%
24%
52%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
ABW
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |