WC Qual. CONCACAF 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
ABW
0 - 3
ATG
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BRB
3 - 2
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ATG
2 - 0
KNA
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
KNA
3 - 0
ATG
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 3
GLP
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
ABW
0 - 3
ATG
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SUR
8 - 1
ABW
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ABW
1 - 2
SUR
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
SUR
6 - 0
ABW
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ABW
0 - 2
SUR
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |