Antigua and Barbuda vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 2
JAM
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 0
DMA
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
JAM
1 - 1
ATG
78%
16%
6%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ATG
3 - 2
BMU
37%
25%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
ATG
0 - 1
EST
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
LCA
0 - 0
DMA
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BRB
1 - 1
LCA
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
GRD
2 - 0
LCA
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
VCT
1 - 2
LCA
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 4
ATG
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |