WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Antigua and Barbuda vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 0
VGB
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATG
1 - 0
DMA
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATG
0 - 2
MTQ
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
JAM
3 - 0
ATG
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
HTI
2 - 2
ATG
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
LCA
0 - 2
GRD
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 2
VCT
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
LCA
1 - 1
DMA
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
GUY
2 - 0
LCA
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LCA
2 - 3
DOM
18%
21%
62%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |