Antigua and Barbuda vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ATG
1 - 1
VGB
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
GTM
8 - 1
ATG
89%
9%
2%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
ATG
0 - 1
GTM
7%
19%
75%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
VCT
4 - 0
ATG
48%
22%
30%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
ATG
2 - 1
VCT
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2001 |
SMR
4 - 2
LCA
73%
15%
12%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2001 |
KNA
2 - 0
LCA
61%
20%
20%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
SUR
1 - 0
LCA
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LCA
1 - 0
SUR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
KNA
0 - 1
LCA
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |