Antigua and Barbuda vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATG
0 - 2
MTQ
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
JAM
3 - 0
ATG
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
HTI
2 - 2
ATG
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
TTO
1 - 0
ATG
76%
15%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 0
ATG
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DMA
1 - 2
LCA
20%
22%
59%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
KNA
5 - 0
DMA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 0
GUY
11%
19%
71%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DMA
3 - 5
GRD
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DMA
2 - 3
VCT
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |