Antigua GFC vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
8º
4º
4
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 27 |
1º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 25 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 25 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 21 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 16 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 15 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 13 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
ANT
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COB
3 - 3
ANT
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
ANT
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 0
MIX
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 0
COB
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
COM
2 - 0
ZAC
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 2
XIN
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
ZAC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |