Antigua GFC vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
2º
6
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 33 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 31 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 29 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 28 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 26 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 19 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
94% | 60% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 3
TOR
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LEO
0 - 0
ANT
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 1
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COM
2 - 3
ANT
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CHI
5 - 1
ANT
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
XIN
0 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
7 - 2
XIN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 1
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
1 - 2
COB
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 0
XIN
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |