Antigua GFC vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SLC
0 - 1
ANT
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
ANT
41%
29%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ANT
1 - 0
ACH
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 1
TOR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
ANT
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 1
NUE
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NUE
3 - 3
TOR
21%
28%
51%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
COM
7 - 0
NUE
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
5 - 1
NUE
74%
18%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 2
SOL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |