Antigua GFC vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
8º
7º
12
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 1
ANT
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 1
ANT
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
ZAC
61%
22%
16%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
ANT
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
GUA
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
XIN
3 - 0
LEO
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 1
COM
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
0 - 0
LEO
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
COB
38%
27%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |