Apertura Guatemala Fase Final Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Antigua GFC vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
ANT
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ANT
5 - 1
SOL
70%
19%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SOL
0 - 1
ANT
23%
28%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 0
ANT
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ANT
0 - 0
SLC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
ANT
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
SLC
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SLC
1 - 0
TOR
43%
29%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TOR
5 - 1
NUE
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
TOR
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |