Antigua GFC vs Iztapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
10º
5º
20
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 1
COB
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 1
ANT
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 1
GUA
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
COM
4 - 0
ANT
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 0
ANT
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Iztapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
IZT
0 - 3
COB
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
IZT
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 2
XIN
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IZT
1 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MIX
4 - 2
IZT
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |